Richard Linklater’s “Boyhood” will win the best picture Oscar this year, I predict.
Using the same method that allowed me to correctly predict that “12 Years A Slave” would win last year and “Argo” would win the year before that, I tallied up the best-picture picks of all the U.S. critics organizations. “Boyhood” is the clear favorite as the pick of 10 critics orgs. “Birdman” is in distant second place as the pick of three:
NEW YORK FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
LOS ANGELES FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
CHICAGO FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
BOSTON FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
WASHINGTON DC AREA FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
SAN FRANCISCO FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
INDIANA FILM JOURNALISTS
Boyhood
ST. LOUIS FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
DETROIT FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
AUSTIN FILM CRITICS
Boyhood
PHOENIX FILM CRITICS
Birdman
LAS VEGAS FILM CRITICS
Birdman
FLORIDA FILM CRITICS
Birdman
ONLINE FILM CRITICS
The Grand Budapest Hotel
NATIONAL SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS
Goodbye To Language
SAN DIEGO FILM CRITICS
Nightcrawler
If you think “Boyhood” may be just too weird a movie to snatch best picture, recall that a silent, black-and-white French movie won just three years ago.
Oscar nominations are announced Jan. 15.
Oscars are handed out Feb. 22.
Feel free to scream at me if I get it wrong this time.
